H.U.T.

Research & IP

Working paper Policy analysis

What the proposed PFAS rescission changes for US drinking-water protection

Tanveer, H.U.; Ali, M.; Fatima, S.; Tanveer, A.; Azam, A.; Tanveer, H.; Aslam, R.F.; Hussain, A.; Ali, A.M.; Soniwala, M.

Working paper prepared for AWWA Water Science

What the paper does

In May 2026 the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposed rescinding four of the six per- and polyfluoroalkyl substance (PFAS) drinking water limits it had set two years earlier, keeping only the limits for perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS). It separately proposed extending the PFOA and PFOS compliance deadline to 2031. The public argument quickly filled with numbers between 30 and 176 million people who would supposedly lose protection. Those numbers mix up three different things: systems where a compound was detected, systems whose deadline would move, and systems that would actually lose an enforceable limit.

We used the national monitoring dataset as released at the time of analysis, with the EPA’s own screening approach, to separate them. The data release and as-of date are stated in the manuscript. Of 10,297 systems, 91 exceed one of the four limits being rescinded, but 82 of those also exceed the PFOA or PFOS limit that stays. So nine systems, serving about 131,000 people, would lose all future enforceable coverage. The much larger stake is the 37 to 54 million people served by systems on the retained limits. The optional deadline extension could defer their treatment by several years. Exposure is concentrated in large urban systems serving more people of color, while the cost of installing treatment falls hardest on small systems. And 43 million people on private wells sit outside the rule either way.

How many systems lose coverage

Headline claims of peoplelosing protection30 to 176 millionPeople whose PFOA/PFOS treatmentthe extension could defer37 to 54 millionPrivate-well usersoutside the rule either way43 millionPeople actually losingall enforceable coverageabout 131,000, in 9 systems10k100k1M10M100Mpeople, log scale
People affected under each definition, on a log scale. The grey bars are claims and context. The amber and blue bars are what the monitoring data support.

Four definitions, four numbers

The same rollback, four different populationsPeople, on a log scale. Pick a definition and the others fade.
Show

Why it matters

Nine systems, serving about 131,000 people, would lose all enforceable coverage. The larger stake is the deferral for the 37 to 54 million people served by systems on the limits that survive.

The paper

Full textWorking paper. Data and code are packaged for release on Zenodo at acceptance.
pending
Publisher recordAssigned on publication
pending